Friday, July 24, 2020

The End Of The Dollar Era Approaching









The End Of The Dollar Era Approaching




The End Of The Dollar Era Approaching A dollar crash is virtually inevitable. The stronger dollar era may be on borrowed time. The era of the U.S. dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” as the world’s primary reserve currency is coming to an end. The days of the dollar as the world's reserve currency are numbered. This does not bode well for the future of the U.S. We have lost our leadership position in many areas. The decline will be painful. Oil and gold are starting to trade in other currencies. When the US dollar is no longer the world standard, America is in real trouble. The Federal Reserve deserves a huge part of the blame. The dollar is losing value against all major currencies. We have almost no savings and mountains of debt. We can't pay our bills unless the FED monetizes it. The Political situation turning US Dollar lower, and it will continue/accelerate downfall with more political turmoil/uncertainty. Some countries' heavy Dollar reserve holders will find themselves losing a lot of purchasing/exchange value. Trump destroyed confidence in the US, and he's alienated a ton of countries, including allies. China and Russia have already started trading oil in a non-dollar currency. If there's an alternative, other countries are certainly open to pursuing and using it. What's the dollar's future now that the Fed created an additional $5 trillion in just the last few months? This is an election year. The Fed could bail out every state, city, corporation, and pension plan even if it costs $50 trillion. They're going to use dollar bills as toilet paper within five years. Probably for three years. When the fed is printing trillions of dollars a month, something will eventually need to give. In 1981 the total debt was around 1 trillion, we are now adding that much each month to both the fed balance sheet and the national debt. Zimbabwe here we come. The dollar is a dead currency walking. With the Fed now creating more dollars in a month than they used to do in a year, we're going to have hyperinflation like Zimbabwe or Weimar Germany or Venezuela. Massive money printing always leads to hyperinflation. I expect the dollar to be dead within three years. China has been making deals all over the world to trade with other countries in the Chinese currency. The banknote known as the dollar was placed in a coffin by Nixon. Removing even the idea gold was backing the currency spelled its death. It is being buried six feet at the moment. May the fiat standard stay below ground. All fiat eventually goes to zero. As the US continues to pump phony money eventually, we will be papering our walls with it. The Ruble and the Deutschmark at their lowest come to mind. SDRs which were created by the IMF is a basket of currencies, albeit with the US dollar as the main currency. But that can change. With all that is going on in the US, more countries will look somewhere else. First the dollar falls, then rampant inflation kicks in. The US has done a magnificent job with the smoke and mirrors while debt keeps rising, now the rest of the world is waking up to the fact that they might not be able to pay back all the loans. In principal, US dollars should lose 50% of its value by 2025 due to infinite QE that will have printed close to $20T by then. But, the strength of a currency is relative. If you put $1 in a T-bill in Jan 2000 and held that until Jan 2015 before cashing it in, accounting for interest paid, taxes on that interest, and the currency devaluation over those 15 years, you would have just 75 cents of the original buying power of that dollar left. Investing in the US is a bad financial decision. The rest of the world is waking up to that realization. The US dollar today has just 2 cents the purchasing power it did in 1950. When it finally loses its World Reserve status, it will jump from $1800 per oz of gold to $30,000 per oz of gold within a year, and the US will become just another 3rd world debtor nation. The dollar is as dead as the USSR ruble or the ancient Greek souvlaki. If you have any, you should rid yourself of them forthwith. You should hold your dollars in other assets and convert when needed, don't just let your dollars sit there in your bank account because that's where the damage will be done. Every other asset will go up, some much greater than others. The stock market has turned into a high-interest savings account; you hold it in there and convert when dollars are needed. Stocks will not keep up with inflation, but its better than dollars in a bank account. Commodities will outperform stocks, but it's useless trying to hold physical bushels, bales, or drums. That's why gold is the easiest commodity to deal with; $500,000 in gold can fit in a sock drawer. The dollar has failed twice before in our nation's history. Once after the revolution and again after the civil war. It's about to fail again. Expect your wheelbarrow that's hauling around all of your dollars will be worth far more than the dollars themselves. Expect a 15:1 reverse split on the dollar with a return to the gold standard. The last time our dollar was worth 100 cents was back in 1933. If you peg the purchasing power of the 2020 dollar to the 1933 dollar, the 2020 dollar's purchasing power will look like this .00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001. Welcome back to The Atlantis Report. You are here for your daily dose of the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth. Please take a second to smash that like button. And as You know friends, I rely totally on your donations to keep this channel functional, as you know, it takes a crazy amount of research and time to bring you this content on a daily basis, so I hope you consider helping with whatever donation you can afford. Thank You. The U.S. economy has been afflicted with some significant macro imbalances for a long time, namely a very low domestic savings rate and a chronic current account deficit. The rise of China and the decoupling of the U.S. from its trade partners is likely to end the supremacy of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Sooner or later, manipulating the dollar for our own purposes will come back to bite us. So much of the US prosperity these past decades has come from having the "reserve currency" with the willingness (now gone) to make sacrifices for the world order. The bottom line is that $6 trillion in stimulus has been created to deal with Covid-19. The national debt just passed $26 trillion (130% of GDP). When you create more money, its value must go down, unless other currencies are also being increased at the same rate. While Europe and Japan have also passed their own stimulus, they haven't created proportionally as much new money as the US. Meanwhile, China and Russia have so far refrained from using unconventional fiscal policies. Russia's government debt as a percentage of GDP is actually among the lowest in the world. Not everyone is in the same boat. The US will one day have to face economic consequences for what it has been doing for decades. But what's going to replace the dollar? Certainly not the euro. The yuan? China is even more manipulative of the yuan than the US is of the dollar. China has no transparency, and it has massive internal yuan debt over two times its GDP that is its priority rather than supporting the yuan as the new world reserve currency. The dollar's appeal is that it is 'the cleanest shirt in dirty laundry.' But, it's going to take a lot more than structural change before the yuan can even begin to function as a reserve currency. When people get really scared they go to Swiss Francs or gold. Any asset that can be arbitrarily revalued at the whim of the Chinese Communist Party can only be speculative. The dollar can be replaced by a basket of convertible currencies. In fact, individual investors should do some of that through international diversification. We are $26 trillion in National debt alone. States are in debt, state pensions are grossly underfunded by $1 Trillion, personal debt is skyrocketed. The groundwork was laid at least since 08 when the last crash happened. China and Russia made agreements with hundreds of countries and not just insignificant ones, but England and Australia to trade I there own currencies and bypass using the dollar. OPEC countries have been doing the same thing. Eventually, the dollar will fail. It’s inevitable . All fiat currencies fail. What’s next? Who knows? It could be a basket of currencies using special drawing rights from the IMF. More than likely, it will be digital, no more paper money. If ANY country on earth decides to just print dollars, FLOOD the world with paper money, then why work or waste time producing goods. If you create all this inflation, eventually it’s going to lead to a big increase in money supply, and then by their own definition, they’re going to have to withdraw all that money from circulation if they don’t want it to become worthless. But it’s easier said than done. Once you get everybody high on heroin, how do you take the heroin away without them going through withdrawal? That’s what the Federal Reserve just found out — again — when they tried to normalize interest rates after keeping them at zero for so long. The markets started hemorrhaging. They went into withdrawal in the fourth quarter of 2018 and everything started falling apart. So, they had to go back to QE. They had to go back to rate cuts. They had to keep the addict juiced up. There is a reason why China, Russia, Europe, BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) are all deciding to use different currencies besides the US dollars. The US is dead broke and held up by countries that lend it money by buying US treasury bonds and bills, and at the same time, the dollar grows in strength, indicating a strong US economy. This is further evidence of a broke system. There will be an intervention, and then the dollar will eventually fall to an appropriate level, approaching zero. Then the dung will really hit the fan. Our monetary system is based on inflation. The greater shame is very few of us realize that we also are taxed on that inflation. Think capital gains. What a scam. "It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning." Henry Ford. I'm afraid 95% of Americans are too dumb to get it. Slave away at the 8-5 their entire lives for peanuts and get taxed at 50% while the FED creates trillions from nothing- no work or productivity, just money for nothing. The biggest scam of the last century, and still going strong today. Of course, for most in the USA, ignorance is bliss. I slave away too but am much more bitter with the current arrangement. Endlessly printing a currency may solve things in the short term, but long term, it causes serious damage to the value of that currency. This has been proven countless times in history. Now, do I think that the Dollar is going to suddenly crash in value overnight, leaving us all in some doomsday financial apocalypse? Of course not. It is still a (generally) strong currency and the world reserve currency. Despite that, no fiat currency is invincible to endless printing. Eventually, the value WILL come down relative to other currencies, and things WILL shift...over time. How long that takes is anyone's guess. Hedge your bets. You'd be smart to keep at least some money in harder assets with limited supply. The current system is being run to the ground by design, so the Fed. Can issue in a NEW system- henceforth why the Fed. It is "burning up dollars" to buy it all. May I suggest Water, Food, Lead, Silver, and Gold in this order. This was The Atlantis Report. Please Like. Share. Subscribe. Leave me a comment. And please take some time to subscribe to my back up channels, I do upload videos there too. You'll find the links in the description box. You will also find a PayPal link if you want to make a donation. Thank you wholeheartedly to all those of you who have already donated. Stay safe and healthy friends! The dollar is being squeezed right now because of the sheer amount of dollar-denominated debt in the world (which tends to happen when you are the reserve currency of the world in such a globalized economy in the age of the internet). The danger to the dollar is that there isn't enough of them, of which everyone defaults, and something replaces it. I expect something similar to Bretton Woods to happen again, be the dollar pinned to Gold or Bitcoin or something. The deficits and money printing isn't serving the American people. It's serving the dollar backstop of the global economy. Global elites are getting ready and using the virus as an excuse to introduce a new reserve currency based on a basket of currencies and hopefully some gold too. "What currency would you buy and hold for the next 50 years?" Absolutely none. At 2% yearly inflation, your holding would be worth 63% less after 50 years. What currency would you buy and hold for the next 50 years? The US Dollar is programmed to devalue at 2% a year. In fact, the economy could not survive without that induced devaluation. One hundred ten years of data from Macrotrends indicates silver appreciates at 4.3% p.a. - with the volatility that creates income opportunities for selling covered calls. Using an ETF like SLV, the metal indeed becomes a virtual currency, liquid enough to use when bt and sold, guided by everyday needs. The reason silver certificates were pulled in 1963 was that the commodity value in a silver dollar for the first time rose above $1. It surpassed $1.33/oz in that year ( a silver dollar is 75% silver). It's now $17/oz. That should be all you need to know about how our monetary system works. Buy gold and end the FED, the dollar is being turned into toilet paper! Consumer spending makes up 70% of the USA economy. Most of that spending is on goods we import, which means other people work to make them, some of it is good, but we don't invent and build anything to put our people to work. With COVID 19 mishandling the spending is quite down to food mostly, I know that from my spending. The stock market paper gains are included in the economy, but most stay in the hands of very few people. It was decided back in 2008 that money has no actual value, so any saving not in the stock market produces ZERO income for their owners. Bush, Trump, and Republicans have been lowering taxes for the rich while neglecting to improve the infrastructure, health/safety, education, and job training in a changing world economy, stuff that would benefit the American people. Politics has been about so-called social issues that make no difference in people's lives, all about ABORTION, GUNS, RELIGION, AND HATRED FOR IMMIGRANTS. NOW the chickens have come to roost. The U. S. can only make a new currency by default. Its bonds would become as poisonous as those of Argentina. Interest rates would soar. As America funds itself by borrowing money, social programs and public services would collapse, and the military would dwindle away. It would go into immense poverty, because it is a nation of consumers, and has little real wealth. Manufacturing has all gone abroad. America lives by devouring the world's goods in exchange for worthless paper dollars, which were forced upon humanity by brutality and fraud. Once the dollar goes to zero, America is nothing. What is worse, its destruction will be blamed on capitalism rather than socialism, so that all efforts to rebuild will be futile. The stock market and housing bubbles would deflate, causing losses of up to 90%; pensions would be wiped out; all social programs would be cut; the price of good and services would soar because there would no longer be a strong dollar to buy them with; the dollar would plummet in value; unemployment would be lasting and horrific; and capitalism, instead of socialist central banking, would take the blame for it all, leading, possibly, to decades of misery under socialism. The dollar is the world's reserve currency. That allows the USA to run trillion-dollar deficits because it exports its inflation to the world, and the world absorbs it as the increasing population needs more reserve currency to conduct its business every year. That pretty well eats up the extra dollars the Feds keep printing each year to finance our federal deficits. If we were say Greece, the currency and country would have imploded decades ago, just like Greece did when it tried to run continuous deficits. The problem is our presidents, including Trump, are trying to use the dollar as a political weapon on countries like Iran, which will give countries a reason to use another currency to settle debts. China, Russia, and India are working on such a currency, When an alternative is available, the US dollar will implode, and the USA will be in a recession worse than 1929. Of course, it will fall because what goes up must come down eventually.No kidding! The Fed keeps adding zeroes to bank screens and buying stocks and bonds while propping up hedge funds. It is called the REPO market. In case of a default, the stock market and housing bubbles would deflate, causing losses of up to 90%; pensions would be wiped out; all social programs would be cut; the price of goods and services would soar because there would no longer be a strong dollar to buy them with; the dollar would plummet in value; unemployment would be lasting and horrific; and capitalism, instead of socialist central banking, would take the blame for it all, leading, possibly, to decades of misery under socialism. This is America's fate if it defaults. If it doesn't default, it has, at best, a few years longer before hyperinflation takes hold, and has to default anyway. Because, by this point, only tens of trillions per annum can keep yields sufficiently down for the system to function. They have tapered liquidity to $1.5 trillion per annum, and stocks are already slipping into a crash. It isn't enough. Food prices are rising because, rather than the last 39 years of the Fed creating credit and handing it to hedge fund managers and CONgress (creating asset price inflation and runaway growth in medical spending and what amounts to welfare, corporate and otherwise), new credit-money was handed to Joe Sixpack. You can't violate Say's Law with impunity. Creating purchasing power by any means OTHER than production simply increases the amount of money chasing whatever is in the marketplace. It doesn't add to what is available for purchase. Taken to the extreme, you have the situation in the USSR where people had rubles, but the shelves were bare. This is what flooding a nation with credit-created-from-nowhere produces. Under FIAT money, money was debt, so debt was wealth. People forgot that an IOU is nothing until it's paid-back. We now have a world drowning in "wealth" that is nothing but IOU's that depends on all other IOU's performing, when mathematically we long ago passed the point where this was true. All that "wealth" is an illusion. So is training people to forget that it's not about money-in-hand, it's about the product available for purchase. Goods availability is likely to crater in the next couple years, and if politicians attempt to make people whole by creating trillions in credit, all it will do is crush the average man's standard of living even more. Did the Trump Admin open Pandora's Box by seizing the Fed's credit creation system? Only time will tell. For nearly 40 years, we witnessed credit-inflation on an unprecedented scale, but because it flowed into asset markets (including the value of debt itself), no one cared. We all seemed to get rich. Now, much of that wealth (in the form of debt, and in asset prices rationalized by its wealth-effect existence) is likely to disappear (mostly chaotically), but goods availability may plummet as well, meaning that prices could rise or fall, but affordability will plunge for many things. Oh, how the sky darkens with chickens coming home to roost. On second thought, that must be locusts. KISSINGER AND PETRODOLLAR HEGEMONY. Nixon was taking advice from Kissinger. Kissinger is among the most powerful person from the globalist elite group residing mostly in the city of London. He is the masterful thinker and wanted to solve the severe US budget deficit caused by the Vietnam war. He wanted to go off the gold standard to avoid the US from selling the 10,000 tons gold holdings in the Treasury to pay off the huge budget deficit. So he proposed a strategic idea to make the US dollar the global reserve currency. To do so, Kissinger needs to bring China into the global market fast and become the top three users of US dollars. The other being Japan and Saudi Arab oil producer. Kissinger plays a very important role in China, becoming a global export powerhouse and factory to the world. This is not known by many people. Kissinger is the kingmaker for the US-China relationship. His key to the success of Petrodollar hegemony created in 1971, is to get China to be the big user of US dollar. This strategy reinforces the US dollar as the global reserve currency. US dollar, when becoming the sole global reserve currency, US Congress can print as much billion US dollars they want to finance military spending and social food stamps programs for the over 20 million jobless Americans. In order to get China to be the big user of the US dollar, Kissinger advised China to weaken Yuan to 1 Dollar=8.9 Yuan in 1994. (before 1994 1 Dollar = 4.5 Yuan). This ultra-cheap yuan force many American, Japanese, EU foreigner investors to start planning moving factories to China from South East Asia, and from 1996 China become the cheapest and lowest-cost producer, saw a sudden increase of FDI into China by foreigners. This game-changing China ultra-cheap yuan policy also caused the 1997/1998 Asia Financial crisis because foreign investors realize that it is much cheaper and most profitable to build factories in China after the ultra-cheap yuan policy is implemented. Many exporters in South East Asia unable to compete with China anymore. The southeast Asia economy in 1998 was totally destroyed by China under the fanciful name of globalization. From 1996 onwards, China becomes the cheapest and lowest-cost producer, saw a sudden increase of FDI into China by foreigners. China now addicted to US dollars and hold more than 3 trillion US dollar in foreign exchange reserve. China now has an estimated over $300 billion trade surplus with the US yearly. China needs the trade surplus badly in order to be able to print 5 trillion Yuan yearly to finance huge mega infrastructure projects every year. In actual fact, American consumers naively are supporting most infrastructure development in China by continuing to buy China-made products. Another reason why China's card was exploited is Kissinger wanted very much for China, and the US joined forces together during the US-Soviet Union cold war. Then this allowed the globalist elite from the city of London to screw the Soviet Union and cause the breakup into Russia. This enables the globalist elite from the city of London and Wall Street to loot Russia more than 3 trillion dollars of Russian natural resources until Putin put a stop to it. That is why the globalist elite wants to get rid of Putin. Russia is a gas station and still have a mountain full of mineral resources besides oil and gas. The next few years will be interesting to see how China has to kowtow to the US and give in to US demands or face a false flag nuclear incident in south china sea. China leaders have no choice if they want to keep and enjoy their wealth. Americans have woken up, and they have been pushed to the poverty wall caused by globalization. Unfortunately, hungry and angry Americans will resort to desperate things, even as far as destroying the whole world. Perhaps the dollar will fall sharply, so too all other major currencies, because all major economies have been doing the same thing "Quantitative Easing" as such, the exchange ratio between Dollar and major currencies remains virtually unchanged. There's an old business saying goes something like this "Thinking your competitors will fail is not a business strategy." The Chinese are fiddling with a digital currency offering that could easily replace the dollar. The benefits of the dollar have been its safety and security and backing of the US of A. Which right now took a nuke to the face economically, still has a pandemic running wild, and idiots in charge. And no, there is no guarantee on the treasury paying its bills. We already had prominent senators suggest defaulting on our Chinese owned debt, which even suggesting is against the constitution. With our debt dollar-based, cuts to the value of the dollar hurt. And at <1%, who would bother buying our debt? Currency collapses are usually followed by war. In the case of a collapse of a major global currency, that would mean global war. China / India may be the flashpoint. India, with the support of the US. China, with the support of Russia.
























Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

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