Roubini : Time To Go To Plan B On Italy

Nouriel Roubini : "If, as appears likely, Italy remains stuck in an uncompetitive recession and is unable to regain market access in the next twelve months, then even if such large official resources were mobilised, they would be wasted on financing investors’ exit and thus postponing an inevitable debt restructuring that would then be more disorderly." - via Business Insider

Roubini : Inequality is sharply rising in America

Professor Nouriel Roubini noted that Inequality is sharply rising in America , he wrote in a twitter message : "Based on Q3 data labor share of income has collapsed to an all time low of 57.1%. Average before 2000 was 63.9%.Inequality is sharply rising"

Roubini : The Eurozone PIIGS need a weaker Euro

Professor Nouriel Roubini said in a twitter message that the Eurozone PIIGS need a weaker Euro not a stronger Euro in order to restore their competitevness " EZ's PIIGS need a weaker, not stronger €, to restore their competitiveness & avoid EZ break-up. But CBs swaps action today makes € stronger " he wrote - via twitter

Roubini: Italy Debt Must Be Restructured

Nouriel Roubini: "Soon real rates will be higher and growth negative. Moreover, the austerity that the European Central Bank and Germany are imposing on Italy will turn recession into depression,"
"The government is born wounded and weakened, as Mr Berlusconi can pull the plug on it at any time," He added - in CNBC

Spain wont be able to stay in The Eurozone says RGE

"Spain can implement the austerity measures that they'll announce and they can implement structural reforms but if the end game is to stay in the euro zone, no I don't think they can achieve that." Megan Greene, senior research analyst at Roubini Global Economics, told CNBC, " there is still a lot of uncertainty but in top of that they are going to have to implement austerity measures which is going to undermine growth " she added

Roubini : Euro/Dollar should be 1.0 or lower

Nouriel Roubini : "Euro/$ should be 1.0 or lower to give EZ PIIGS a fighting chance to restore competitiveness & avoid a depression.Still 30% away from that" Roubini wrote in twitter , "In 2002 when there was no risk of sovereign debt crisis or EZ break-up €/$ fell well below parity to 0.82.So we are still 50% away from that" he added

Roubini : We have effectively Zero Growth

Nouriel Roubini : "If the economy is growing only 1.5 percent to 2 percent and you get a fiscal drag of 1.3 percent — that's the difference between a growth recession and effectively zero growth,"

Roubini : Supporters of a Gold Standard Are Lunatics and Hacks

"we are never going to go back to the Gold Standard " "this idea of a a gold standard is pushed every other day by these gold bugs is not even a theory it's a theology " says Economics Professor Roubini who sees the gold standard as dangerous. In fact, he said, the gold standard was a major reason for the Great Depression. "One of the major causes of the Great Depression was the existence of the gold standard and the return to the gold standard after World War I - that they restrained the ability of central banks to provide lender of last resort support to their banks created tight money, it created bank runs, and lead eventually to the Great Depression,"

Roubini on the global climate change & the Emerging markets impact

Professor Nouriel Roubini on the margin of the CRO Assembly 2011 was asked about the Emerging markets growth and its impact on the global climate change : The Emerging markets as we know are urbanizing they are industrializing they are increasing per capita income and population so they are demanding more resources , more water more energy more oil more food more raw materials and those demands of course can affect global climate change .... certainly they have an impact on the environment ......

50% probability of Eurozone breakup within 2-to-3 years

Professor Nouriel Roubini said in an interview today with Yahoo Tech Ticker that there is at least a 50% probability of a breakup of the eurozone in the next 2-to-3 years, which would almost certainly lead to a fast-motion train wreck. Click Here to watch the Full Interview>>>>

Roubini : Europe Contagion Gone Viral & Global

Professor Nouriel Roubini interviewed on the phone by Yahoo Finance Roubini said that the IMF does not have enough resources to save Europe and that now the contagion is spreading to the rest of Europe , the size of the IMF resources are absolutely not sufficient to bailout Europe , Italy and Spain alone are in 3 trillion euro public debt problem equivalent to 4 trillion US Dollars .... money alone is not going to resolve the problems in Europe Roubini explains , Europe is a slow motion train wreck he added ... "The contagion has now gone viral, cross Atlantic and global." Roubini says

Nouriel Roubini vs. James Rickards over The Gold Standard via Twitter

Yesterday, economics Professor Nouriel Roubini decided asked via twitter James Rickards, author of "Currency Wars," why he advocates for a return to the gold standard in his book "currency wars," when it was this return to gold that was a direct cause of the Great Depression. Nouriel Roubini and James Rickards engaged in a 16 hours long twitter debate over the Gold Standard . Nouriel Roubini wrote via twitter : "For study of Great Depression & Gold Standard cause of it read Temin's Lessons From The Great Depression rather than Rickards' Currency Wars"

"Goldbugism is a cult similar to worship of the Biblical Golden Calf. If we kept believin such voodoo we wold still be stranded in the desert" he added "Problem of Gold Stn: wage cuts much harder than FX deval.Politically unacceptable" Roubini explains "Goldbugism is theology not economics.There is literally no piece of evidence that would cause them to change their minds"

Roubini: Italy has passed the point of no return

Italy is past the point of no return and will be forced into a managed sovereign debt restructuring as early as 2012,RGE Roubini Global Economics warns. 'The size of the financial assistance needed to support Italy coupled with the inadequacy of the eurozone's rescue strategy is likely to force the country into a managed debt restructuring as early as 2012,' RGE's Katharina Jungen said - via www.citywire.co.uk

There is no right price of gold

"There is no "right" price of gold as for 3000 years random shocks to supply of gold have caused massive recessionary inflations & deflations " Roubini wrote via twitter

Gold Standard in 1930s didnt allow preventing runs on banks

Professor Nouriel Roubini wrote via twitter " Gold Standard in 1930s didnt allow preventing runs on banks & sovereigns: it forced fiscal austerity that pushed Europe in runs & Depression "

"Hard money & keeping the gold standard, equivalent to today's EZ monetary union, pushed Europe into bank runs & the Great Depression in 1931" he added

Roubini : Eurozone break-up by 2014 a possibility

Nouriel Roubini : the creation of a ‘big bazooka’ from the resources of the International Monetary Fund, the ECB and other institutions is the most likely course of action. There is a 50% chance of this being unveiled in “the next few months”,

“In our view, even that limited plan may fail and once it fails it is not obvious that the international community at that point is going to ‘double down’ after having committed up to €600-€800 billion,” “At that point, orderly debt restructuring in Italy and Spain may become the right thing to do and eventually if the eurozone is not sustainable the idea of first Greece and Portugal but then of Italy or Spain exiting the eurozone cannot be ruled out.”

this could occur by the end of 2013 or in the opening months of 2014. - in www.fundweb.co.uk

Roubini : The Eurozone Crisis has spread to the core

Professor Nouriel Roubini, in a Twitter message on Wednesday warns that the market storm that has been shaking the weaker countries of the eurozone has finally spread to the core. The crisis has led investors to doubt the ability of countries to pay back their debts. Roubini noted that the interest differential on bonds taken out by Belgium, France, Austria, and Finland compared with loans taken by Germany had grown. "Contagion has spread from periphery to core of the EZ as spreads widened in France, Belgium, Austria and Finland" Roubini wrote on twitter , "EZ financial conditions are becoming unstable as core - France,Belgium,Austria- CDS spreads are now surging & contagion spreading to core" he added in another message

Roubini : Spain is as much of a disaster as Italy

Nouriel Roubinii : “Well right now, the worries in the market are about Italy, but Spain is as much of a disaster as Italy. There debt as a share of GDP is lower, but their deficit is higher. Unemployment 20% including young people 40%.”

Roubini : The Eurozone crisis seems to be reaching its climax

Nouriel Roubini : The Eurozone crisis seems to be reaching its climax, with Greece on the verge of default and an inglorious exit from the monetary union, and now Italy on the verge of losing market access. But the Eurozone's problems are much deeper. They are structural, and they severely affect at least four other economies: Ireland, Portugal, Cyprus, and Spain. For the last decade, the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain) were the Eurozone's consumers of first and last resort, spending more than their income and running ever-larger current-account deficits. Meanwhile, the Eurozone core (Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, and France) comprised the producers of first and last resort, spending below their incomes and running ever-larger current-account surpluses. - in project syndicate

Roubini: Chaos in Europe would hit world harder than Lehman Brothers

Roubini warns that the Chaos in Europe would hit world harder than Lehman Brothers , Nouriel Roubini : The economic shock from the fall of Europe’s economies “could be much larger than from the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008,” Roubini says from Moscow where he attends an International Conference .The situation in the Eurozone could have a serious impact on Russia too Dr Doom warned and could have a bigger shock on the world's economy than the collapse of the Lehman Brothers in 2008