Nassim Taleb What is a Black Swan

 Video used by prof. V.Inglezakis, at Safety Engineering and Risk Management Lectures at Nazarbayev University




Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb discusses the central theme of his bestselling book, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable."

-----

The Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought with Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb discusses his book, The Black Swan in relation to predicting the future, learning from the consequences of the unknown, and the power of randomness.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an essayist, belletrist, and researcher only interested in one single topic, chance (particularly extreme and rare events, the "Black Swans" i.e. outliers); but it falls at the intersection of philosophy/epistemology (skepticism; knowledge about the dynamics of history; inferential claims), philosophy/ethics (stoicism facing random events; theories of nonhedonic happiness), mathematical sciences (probability theory, statistical physics), social science/finance (opacity & incomplete information in economics), and cognitive science (the mental biases making us "fooled" by randomness). He mainly derives his intuitions from a 2-decade long and intense practice of derivatives trading ("nondull" activities with plenty of randomness).

Taleb is currently a researcher at London Business School. He the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty University of Massachusetts at Amherst, Fellow in Mathematics in Finance, Adjunct Professor of Mathematics at the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University (since 1999), and research fellow, Wharton School Financial Institutions Center, and Chairman, Empirica LLC.

Taleb held senior trading positions with trading houses in New York and London and operated as a floor trader before founding Empirica LLC. His degrees include an MBA from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from the University of Paris. He is the author of Dynamic Hedging, Fooled by Randomness, and The Black Swan.
Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nassim Taleb endorses Ron Paul but...

Nassim Taleb : "the only candidate I trust is Ron Paul." he wrote in his facebook page "I do not wish to be dragged into politics beyond my statement of trusting one, and only one candidate in this primary. Conversation ended," he added.

Nassim Taleb : Individuality in a Mass Age

Black Swan author Nassim Taleb at Names Not Numbers 2011 . Nassim Taleb is the best-selling author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. So called 'Black Swan Events' are climactic, random and hard-to-predict events that have been entirely unexpected, and often hitherto perceived to be impossible.

Charlie Rose - Nassim Taleb

Charlie Rose - Nassim Taleb : Author Nassim Taleb on deficits

Nassim Taleb, America finds fools to buy its bonds, January 2011

Nassim Taleb, fragile investments at this time, January 2011:
The American budget deficit is worse than that of Greece ...the fact that you can find some fool to buy your bonds so far may cease ....the Chinese have so far 2 trillion and we need a trillion to borrow ...and now it is partly done by printing and partly done by going to find a fool to buy the bonds ...so really we have a very fragile situation in the United States without unlike Greece having the IMF on top to force them ...


Nassim Taleb, fragile investments at this time, January 2011

Nassim Taleb on ManagemenTV

I like the interviewer, he seems like an ordinary guy, partly clueless. Also, this was a good summary of many of the points Nassim Taleb has been trying to make, since Fooled By Randomness and onward.It's good that Nassim is taking his time with the book, but also sad that it probably won't be here for several years.

Black Swan quot; Author Nassim Taleb on Bloomberg Television 1

Black Swan quot; Author Nassim Taleb on Bloomberg Television 1

Nassim Taleb - What is a Black Swan?

Nassim Nicholas Taleb - What is a "Black Swan?"

Nassim Taleb : Atheists and the Stock Market

Atheists and the Stock Market - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Complete video at: http://fora.tv/2008/02/04/Future_Has_...

Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb gives his take on beliefs, religion, and stock market analysts.

-----

The Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought with Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb discusses his book, The Black Swan in relation to predicting the future, learning from the consequences of the unknown, and the power of randomness.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an essayist, belletrist, and researcher only interested in one single topic, chance (particularly extreme and rare events, the "Black Swans" i.e. outliers); but it falls at the intersection of philosophy/epistemology (skepticism; knowledge about the dynamics of history; inferential claims), philosophy/ethics (stoicism facing random events; theories of nonhedonic happiness), mathematical sciences (probability theory, statistical physics), social science/finance (opacity & incomplete information in economics), and cognitive science (the mental biases making us "fooled" by randomness). He mainly derives his intuitions from a 2-decade long and intense practice of derivatives trading ("nondull" activities with plenty of randomness).

Taleb is currently a researcher at London Business School. He the Dean’s Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty University of Massachusetts at Amherst, Fellow in Mathematics in Finance, Adjunct Professor of Mathematics at the Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences of New York University (since 1999), and research fellow, Wharton School Financial Institutions Center, and Chairman, Empirica LLC.

Taleb held senior trading positions with trading houses in New York and London and operated as a floor trader before founding Empirica LLC. His degrees include an MBA from the Wharton School and a Ph.D. from the University of Paris. He is the author of Dynamic Hedging, Fooled by Randomness, and The Black Swan.

Black Swan Author Nassim Taleb on Bloomberg Television

"Black Swan" author Nassim Taleb appeared on Bloomberg Television's "Surveillance Midday" with Tom Keene today. He said that he's worried about the crisis in the U.S. more than in Europe and that executive compensation on Wall Street is not fully addressed by regulators, causing a "moral hazard."

Nassim Taleb : Bed of Aphorisms

Dec. 17 2010 | Nassim Taleb, author of "The Black Swan," discusses his new book, "Fooled by Randomness" with CNBC.

Nassim Taleb s Ten Principles (Sample)

Nassim Taleb's Discussing Some of His Ten Principles for a Black Swan Robust World

Nassim Taleb : Black Swan Wisdom

Dec. 2 2010 | Nassim Taleb, known worldwide for his book "The Black Swan," discusses his new book, "The Bed of Procrustes," and more with CNBC.

Nassim Taleb - La Ciudad de las Ideas 2009

The "La Ciudad de las Ideas 2009 Re-Evolution" Festival witnessed a very exciting event, where great theologists, philosophers and thinkers debated over the eternal conflict between science and religion, reason with faith and Darwin vs The Bible. The opinions and views expressed are strong, we recommend open-mindedness for its enjoyment.

Debaters: Sam Harris, Christopher Hitchens, Daniel Dennett (new atheists) vs. Shmuley Boteach, Dinesh D'Souza, Nassim Taleb (theists), and Robert Wright (neutral).

Nassim Taleb on Ben Bernanke, the Fed and QE2

Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) -- You gotta watch this. Nassim Taleb, New York University professor and author of "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable," discusses the Federal Reserve's decision to initiate another round of quantitative easing. Taleb, speaking with Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Television's "Inside Track," also talks about his new book "The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms."

Nassim Taleb: Risk & Regulation

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author, "The Black Swan," and NYU professor, discusses who was at fault for the financial crisis, the idea that regulation doesn't work, and why debt is a bad thing. This is part 2 of the presentation which includes a question and answer session at the end

Nassim Taleb Do not trust the Banks

Nassim Taleb Says Banks Hijack Us, Can't Be Trusted

Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of the best-selling "The Black Swan" and founder of Universa Investments, talks with Bloomberg's Francine Lacqua and Erik Schatzker about the financial crisis and the outlook for U.S. banks.
Taleb speaks on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland. (Source: Bloomberg)

Nassim Taleb, Says Focus on Specific Trades in Selloff Misguided

(Bloomberg) -- Nassim Taleb, a professor at New York University and author of "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable," talks with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker about the May 6 stock market selloff and his investment strategy. Taleb also discusses the drivers for the financial crisis, the U.S. economy and the performance of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke. (Source: Bloomberg)

Black Swan Author on the Financial Crisis

Oct. 25 2010 | Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author, "The Black Swan," and NYU professor, discusses who was at fault for the financial crisis, the idea that regulation doesn't work, and why debt is a bad thing.

Nassim Taleb, bullish on Canada

Taleb, a native of Lebanon who gave his speech in French to an audience of Quebec business people, said Canada’s fiscal situation makes the country a safer investment than its southern neighbor.

Canada has the lowest ratio of net debt to gross domestic product among the Group of Seven industrialized countries and will keep that distinction until at least 2014, the country’s finance department said in March. Canada’s ratio, 24 percent in 2007, will rise to about 30 percent by 2014. The U.S. ratio, now above 40 percent, will top 80 percent in four years, the department said, citing IMF data.

“I am bullish on Canada,” he told the audience. “I prefer Canada to the U.S. or even Europe.”

via businessweek.com>>>>