Friday, July 25, 2014

Roubini Global Economics views on the Macro-Market landscape

Meet Sheryl King, Roubini Senior Research Director
RoubiniGlobal Senior Research Director Sheryl King present RGE views on the macro-market landscape

In the first of a series of video interviews with RGE analysts, Senior Research Director Sheryl King discusses our views on the macro-market landscape, focusing on the growth and inflation picture and the challenges facing central banks.


 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, July 24, 2014

Roubini : Russia unlikely to deescalate

Roubini : Russia unlikely to deescalate, expect some reconciliatory steps, but tensions continuing, plus more sanctions - via Twitter



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Roubini : Too Big to be Saved

Roubini : "If they're too big to fail, they're also becoming too big to be saved, too big to be bailed out, and too big to be managed."


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Serious Global Economic Uncertainties

After London I am now in Frankfurt for policy meetings. Tomorrow Ankara is next. From UK to EZ to Turkey serious economic uncertainties - via Twitter


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Nouriel Roubini on the Canadian Housing Market

CBC interview with Nouriel Roubini of Roubini Global Economics. February 2014


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Monday, July 21, 2014

Structural Reforms needed to Grow Faster


The outlook for 2014 is dampened by longer-term constraints as well. Indeed, there is a looming risk of secular stagnation in many advanced economies, owing to the adverse effect on productivity growth of years of under-investment in human and physical capital.

And the structural reforms that these economies need to boost their potential growth will be implemented too slowly.



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Sunday, July 20, 2014

CHINA -- The Biggest Geopolitical Risk of our Time


The biggest geopolitical risk of our times is not a conflict between Israel and Iran over nuclear proliferation. Nor is it the risk of chronic disorder in an arc of instability that now runs from the Maghreb all the way to the Hindu Kush. It is not even the risk of cold war II between Russia and the west over Ukraine.

All of these are serious risks, of course; but none is as serious as the challenge of sustaining the peaceful character of China's rise. That is why it is particularly disturbing to hear Japanese and Chinese officials and analysts compare the countries' bilateral relationship to that between Britain and Germany on the eve of the first world war.

The disputes between China and several of its neighbours over disputed islands and maritime claims (starting with the conflict with Japan) are just the tip of the iceberg. As China becomes an even greater economic power, it will become increasingly dependent on shipping routes for its imports of energy, other inputs, and goods. This implies the need to develop a blue-water navy to ensure that China's economy cannot be strangled by a maritime blockade.
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/apr/30/project-syndicate-china-peaceful-rise-biggest-geopolitical-challenge



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Saturday, July 19, 2014

Roubini Bullish on South Korea, Malaysia, Phillipines, HK, Singapore


  There are plenty of emerging market economies that have good market fundamentals and international policies.

In Asia, we particularly like South Korea, but even countries like Malaysia, the Philippines, Hong Kong or Singapore are solid.

In Europe, countries like Greece that are covered by the recovery in the eurozone could be attractive, or countries like Poland and the Czech Republic can be good economic opportunities as well. 



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Friday, July 18, 2014

The US court decision is dangerous for two reasons


The US court decision is dangerous for two reasons. First, the court ruled for the first time that a country cannot continue to pay those creditors who accepted a big reduction (or "haircut") on their claims until the holdouts are paid in full. So, why would any future creditor who benefits from an orderly restructuring vote for it if its new claims can be blocked by even a single holdout creditor? more @ http://www.cnbc.com/id/101807441



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, July 17, 2014

Roubini : Recovery to be at Best Weak



Roubini Reasons for Caution . Nouriel Roubini, chairman of Roubini Global Economics, expects recovery in the west to be 'at best weak'. He talks to Sarah Gordon, Europe business editor, a... Icerik giriniz


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Meet Sheryl King, Roubini Director of Research

 Meet Sheryl King, Roubini's Senior Director of Research in the Americas. She gives you a brief overview of our global outlook.




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Tuesday, July 15, 2014

China wont crash in 2014

China will maintain an annual growth rate above 7% in 2014. But, despite the reforms set out by the Third Plenum of the Communist Party's Central Committee, the shift in China's growth model from fixed investment toward private consumption will occur too slowly.
Many vested interests, including local governments and state-owned enterprises, are resisting change; a huge volume of private and public debt will go sour; and the country's leadership is divided on how quickly reforms should be implemented. So, while China will avoid a hard landing in 2014, its medium-term prospects remain worrisome.



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Monday, July 14, 2014

Boom Bubbles & Busts are normal part of The Markets


What we need to understand is, one, that there are market failures; and two, that there are things like asset bubbles and irrational exuberance. There are periods of booms, bubbles, and manias. These things, if left to themselves, can lead to crashes, to busts, to panics.




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Sunday, July 13, 2014

Nouriel Roubini on the Economic Crisis



 NOURIEL ROUBINI: Popularly known as Dr. Doom, which was the title of a profile in The New York Times Magazine in August of 2008, Dr. Nouriel Roubini is known for his now-vindicated predictions of the current financial crisis. He speaks on the global economic outlook and its implications for financial markets and was named to Fortune Magazine's list of "10 new gurus you should know". Nouriel Roubini is a Professor of Economics and International Business at New York University Stern School of Business. He was also the Senior Economist for International Affairs at the White House Council of Economic Advisers from 1998-1999; then, the Senior Advisor to the Under Secretary for International Affairs and the Director of the Office of Policy Development and Review at the U.S. Treasury Department from 1999- 2000. He is the cofounder and Chairman of RGE Monitor, an innovative economic and geo-strategic information service with 30 economists on staff. With Robert J. Shiller, he contributes to a series for Project Syndicate called Finance in the 21st Century. He also maintains a blog at RGE Monitor. He is the co-author of the book, "Political Cycles: Theory and Evidence." In his latest book Crisis Economics: A Crash Course In The Future of Finance, Roubini argues that the United States must use the recent crisis as an opportunity to make deep and meaningful reforms to its financial system. His book, Bailouts or Bail-ins? Responding to Financial Crises in Emerging Economies, (with Brad Setser), was published by the Institute for International Economics in 2004.



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Saturday, July 12, 2014

Roubini : Ukraine Could Tip Europe Back to Recession

Nouriel Roubini of Roubini Global Economics, discusses how Russia and Ukraine could affect the European recovery, market preparedness for a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy and why he sees a less dovish Federal Reserve in the near future from the 2014 Milken Global Conference on Bloomberg Television's "Market Makers."




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Friday, July 11, 2014

6 Things that worry Nouriel Roubini


NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The economist known as Dr. Doom sounds relatively optimistic these days.
Nouriel Roubini says many of the risks to the global economy have abated and things are looking up.
Thanks to bold moves by the world's central banks, global economic growth this year should be closer to 2% rather than the "anemic" 1% of the past few years, Roubini said at an event hosted by Aberdeen Asset Management in New York.
But -- and there's always a but -- Roubini has a list of six things he believes could derail the economic recovery. It's worth remembering that Roubini correctly predicted the housing crisis and ensuing financial crash in 2008.
1. China headed for a bumpy landing. While he doesn't believe China is at risk of a crash, Roubini says growth in the world's second largest economy will probably "surprise to the downside."
read more @ http://www.ketknbc.com/news/6-things-that-worry-dr-doom




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, July 10, 2014

Using Roubini Country Insights @ Roubini Global Economics Website

Learn how best to navigate the Roubini Global Economics research platform, roubini.com & Learn how to use Roubini's country analysis tool - Country Insights - on roubini.com





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

The International System for orderly Sovereign-Debt restructuring may be broken

Like individuals, corporations, and other private firms that rely on bankruptcy procedures to reduce an excessive debt burden, countries sometimes need orderly debt restructuring or reduction. But the ongoing legal saga of Argentina’s fight with holdout creditors shows that the international system for orderly sovereign-debt restructuring may be broken.
Individuals, firms, or governments may end up with too much debt because of bad luck, bad decisions, or a combination of the two. If you get a mortgage but then lose your job, you have bad luck. If your debt becomes unsustainable because you borrowed too much to take long vacations or buy expensive appliances, your bad behavior is to blame. The same applies to corporate firms: some have bad luck and their business plans fail, while others borrow too much to pay their mediocre managers excessively.
Bad luck and bad behavior (policies) can also lead to unsustainable debt burdens for governments. If a country’s terms of trade (the price of its exports) deteriorate and a large recession persists for a long time, its government’s revenue base may shrink and its debt burden may become excessive. But an unsustainable debt burden may also result from borrowing to spend too much, failure to collect sufficient taxes, and other policies that undermine the economy’s growth potential.
Read more at http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/nouriel-roubini-criticizes-recent-us-court-rulings-that-impede-orderly-restructuring-of-sovereign-debt#Cc9H8DDvDbJ0z5sA.99



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Roubini : Why should Europe be handled with care?

The Why? Forum 2014: Why should Europe be handled with care?
The Why? Forum 2014 in London



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Monday, July 7, 2014

Countries had to rely on a Market-based approach to resolve excessive Debt Problems

Because a formal bankruptcy regime for governments does not exist (though Anne Krueger, the International Monetary Fund’s then-deputy managing director, proposed one more than a decade ago), countries have had to rely on a market-based approach to resolve excessive debt problems. Following this approach, the country offers to exchange old bonds for new bonds with a lower face value and/or lower interest payments and longer maturities. If most investors accept this offer, the restructuring occurs successfully.
But this implies a key problem: Whereas a bankruptcy court can force holdout creditors to accept the exchange offer as long as a significant majority of creditors have already done so (a so-called “cram down”), the market-based approach allows some creditors to continue to hold out and sue to be paid in full. - in www.project-syndicate.org


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Sunday, July 6, 2014

Corporations just like people have bad luck too



Like individuals, corporations, and other private firms that rely on bankruptcy procedures to reduce an excessive debt burden, countries sometimes need orderly debt restructuring or reduction. But the ongoing legal saga of Argentina’s fight with holdout creditors shows that the international system for orderly sovereign-debt restructuring may be broken.

Individuals, firms, or governments may end up with too much debt because of bad luck, bad decisions, or a combination of the two. If you get a mortgage but then lose your job, you have bad luck. If your debt becomes unsustainable because you borrowed too much to take long vacations or buy expensive appliances, your bad behavior is to blame. The same applies to corporate firms: some have bad luck and their business plans fail, while others borrow too much to pay their mediocre managers excessively.

Bad luck and bad behavior (policies) can also lead to unsustainable debt burdens for governments. If a country’s terms of trade (the price of its exports) deteriorate and a large recession persists for a long time, its government’s revenue base may shrink and its debt burden may become excessive. But an unsustainable debt burden may also result from borrowing to spend too much, failure to collect sufficient taxes, and other policies that undermine the economy’s growth potential. - in project syndicate


 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Saturday, July 5, 2014

Bad Luck & Debt Burden


Individuals, firms, or governments may end up with too much debt because of bad luck, bad decisions, or a combination of the two. If you get a mortgage but then lose your job, you have bad luck. If your debt becomes unsustainable because you borrowed too much to take long vacations or buy expensive appliances, your bad behavior is to blame. The same applies to corporate firms: some have bad luck and their business plans fail, while others borrow too much to pay their mediocre managers excessively.
Bad luck and bad behavior (policies) can also lead to unsustainable debt burdens for governments. If a country’s terms of trade (the price of its exports) deteriorate and a large recession persists for a long time, its government’s revenue base may shrink and its debt burden may become excessive. But an unsustainable debt burden may also result from borrowing to spend too much, failure to collect sufficient taxes, and other policies that undermine the economy’s growth potential. 

Read more at http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/nouriel-roubini-criticizes-recent-us-court-rulings-that-impede-orderly-restructuring-of-sovereign-debt#o8lHXZSeTqWUo9KE.99



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Friday, July 4, 2014

Debt vultures endanger the world

by Nouriel Roubini, July 04 2014,


LIKE individuals, corporations and other private firms that rely on bankruptcy procedures to reduce an excessive debt burden, countries sometimes need orderly debt restructuring or reduction.
But the continuing legal saga of Argentina’s fight with holdout creditors shows that the international system for orderly sovereign-debt restructuring may be broken.
Individuals, firms, or governments may end up with too much debt because of bad luck, bad decisions, or a combination.
If you get a mortgage but then lose your job, you have bad luck.
If your debt becomes unsustainable because you borrowed too much to take long vacations or buy expensive appliances, your bad behaviour is to blame.
The same applies to corporate firms: some have bad luck and their business plans fail, while others borrow too much to pay their mediocre managers excessively.
Bad luck and bad behaviour (policies) can also lead to unsustainable debt burdens for governments. If a country’s terms of trade (the prices of its exports) deteriorate and a recession persists for a long time, the government’s revenue base may shrink and its debt burden may become excessive.
But an unsustainable debt burden may also result from borrowing to spend too much, failure to collect sufficient taxes, and other policies that undermine the economy’s growth potential.

Read More @ http://www.bdlive.co.za/opinion/2014/07/04/debt-vultures-endanger-the-world






Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, July 3, 2014

Gouging the Gauchos


NEW YORK – Like individuals, corporations, and other private firms that rely on bankruptcy procedures to reduce an excessive debt burden, countries sometimes need orderly debt restructuring or reduction. But the ongoing legal saga of Argentina’s fight with holdout creditors shows that the international system for orderly sovereign-debt restructuring may be broken.

Individuals, firms, or governments may end up with too much debt because of bad luck, bad decisions, or a combination of the two. If you get a mortgage but then lose your job, you have bad luck. If your debt becomes unsustainable because you borrowed too much to take long vacations or buy expensive appliances, your bad behavior is to blame. The same applies to corporate firms: some have bad luck and their business plans fail, while others borrow too much to pay their mediocre managers excessively.

Bad luck and bad behavior (policies) can also lead to unsustainable debt burdens for governments. If a country’s terms of trade (the price of its exports) deteriorate and a large recession persists for a long time, its government’s revenue base may shrink and its debt burden may become excessive. But an unsustainable debt burden may also result from borrowing to spend too much, failure to collect sufficient taxes, and other policies that undermine the economy’s growth potential.

When the debt burden of an individual, firm, or government is too high, legal systems need to provide orderly ways to reduce it to a more sustainable level (closer to the debtor’s potential income). If it is too easy to default and reduce one’s debt burden, the result is moral hazard, because debtors gain an incentive to indulge in bad behavior. But if it is too difficult to restructure and reduce debts when bad luck leads to unsustainable debts, the result is bad for both the debtor and its creditors, who are better off when a reduced debt ratio is serviced than when a debtor defaults.
Read more at http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/nouriel-roubini-criticizes-recent-us-court-rulings-that-impede-orderly-restructuring-of-sovereign-debt#le0wPjYzJsVPMx2B.99




 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Roubini : I'm addicted to Twitter


Among the social media - I've tried them all - Facebook is a bit of a game, but Twitter is a productivity tool. I use it regularly and I'm addicted to it.


 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Boom Bubbles & Busts can lead to Crashes, Busts, & Panics

What we need to understand is, one, that there are market failures; and two, that there are things like asset bubbles and irrational exuberance. There are periods of booms, bubbles, and manias. These things, if left to themselves, can lead to crashes, to busts, to panics.



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Monday, June 30, 2014

Nouriel Roubini on the Economic Crisis




 NOURIEL ROUBINI: Popularly known as Dr. Doom, which was the title of a profile in The New York Times Magazine in August of 2008, Dr. Nouriel Roubini is known for his now-vindicated predictions of the current financial crisis. He speaks on the global economic outlook and its implications for financial markets and was named to Fortune Magazine's list of "10 new gurus you should know". Nouriel Roubini is a Professor of Economics and International Business at New York University Stern School of Business. He was also the Senior Economist for International Affairs at the White House Council of Economic Advisers from 1998-1999; then, the Senior Advisor to the Under Secretary for International Affairs and the Director of the Office of Policy Development and Review at the U.S. Treasury Department from 1999- 2000. He is the cofounder and Chairman of RGE Monitor, an innovative economic and geo-strategic information service with 30 economists on staff. With Robert J. Shiller, he contributes to a series for Project Syndicate called Finance in the 21st Century. He also maintains a blog at RGE Monitor. He is the co-author of the book, "Political Cycles: Theory and Evidence." In his latest book Crisis Economics: A Crash Course In The Future of Finance, Roubini argues that the United States must use the recent crisis as an opportunity to make deep and meaningful reforms to its financial system. His book, Bailouts or Bail-ins? Responding to Financial Crises in Emerging Economies, (with Brad Setser), was published by the Institute for International Economics in 2004.


 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Sunday, June 29, 2014

Roubini: How I'd Invest $1 Million Right Now

(Bloomberg) -- The New York University economist Nouriel Roubini insists he's not 'Dr. Doom,' he's 'Dr. Realist' in his global macro investment outlook. Regardless of his nickname, here's how he would invest $1 million.




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Saturday, June 28, 2014

Roubini Global Economics Launches iPad App


NEW YORK, June 25, 2014 /PRNewswire/

-- Roubini Global Economics today announced the release of an iPad app that allows clients to read and save the firm's latest macroeconomic research on the go. Free to download, the app provides clients and trial subscribers with access to current and past content available on Roubini.com, including Research, Thoughts, Key Views and Global Outlooks.
"Markets don't wait, so we developed an app to put our research right at clients' fingertips, enabling them to react as soon as opportunities arise," said Scott Hall, Managing Director of Sales & Marketing. "We're constantly focused on developing new ways to engage, interact and collaborate with our clients, and we can't wait for them to start using our app."
The app lets users select their favorite research pieces, saving them to their devices for future reference—even when offline. When connected to the internet, the app automatically scans for new content and allows users to search through Roubini's entire collection of research for the insight they need.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/roubini-global-economics-launches-ipad-app-2014-06-25



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Friday, June 27, 2014

China headed for a Bumpy Landing

China headed for a bumpy landing. While he doesn't believe China is at risk of a crash, Roubini says growth in the world's second largest economy will probably "surprise to the downside."



He expects Chinese GDP to grow 7% this year then fall to 6.5% next year. It could slow further if policy makers fail to implement structural reforms aimed at making China's economic model sustainable, he added.  in CNN Money read more : http://money.cnn.com/2014/06/11/investing/economy-roubini-risks/



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, June 26, 2014

Roubini in Turkey Special Interview

SPECIAL INTERVIEW WITH Nouriel Roubini



Economist Nouriel Roubini Turkey are very optimistic for the economy. Bloomberg HT research, answering questions from the desk of Bu İyigündoğdu Roubini, including Turkey, where 6 with the economic performance of developing countries argued that the BRICS Ulek leave behind. 01.04.2013

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Nouriel Roubini | The Great Global Backlash

Anaemic economic recovery has given populist parties an opening to blame foreign trade and foreign workers
by Nouriel Roubini


In the immediate aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis, policymakers’ success in preventing the Great Recession from turning into Great Depression II held in check demands for protectionist and inward-looking measures. But now the backlash against globalization—and the freer movement of goods, services, capital, labour, and technology that came with it—has arrived. This new nationalism takes different economic forms: trade barriers, asset protection, reaction against foreign direct investment, policies favouring domestic workers and firms, anti-immigration measures, state capitalism, and resource nationalism. In the political realm, populist, anti-globalization, anti-immigration, and in some cases outright racist and anti-Semitic parties are on the rise. These forces loath the alphabet soup of supra-national governance institutions—EU (European Union), UN (United Nations), WTO (World Trade Organization), and IMF (International Monetary Fund), among others—that globalization requires. Even the Internet, the epitome of globalization for the past two decades, is at risk of being balkanized as more authoritarian countries—including China, Iran, Turkey, and Russia—seek to restrict access to social media and crack down on free expression.

Read more at: http://www.livemint.com/Opinion/ro89h9RPtLE7b4Xh72THCM/The-great-global-backlash.html?utm_source=copy



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Nouriel Roubini on The Charlie Rose

Nouriel Roubini and Ian Bremmer; Colum McCann
Nouriel Roubini, Chairman of Roubini Global Economics and Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group on the world's economy. Irish author Colum McCann on his new book “Transatlantic.”




 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Monday, June 23, 2014

Roubini sides with the Bond Market


At an investment conference this week, Roubini said he sides with the bond market "I am still of the view that most economic growth might surprise to the downside," he said, MarketWatch reported.



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Sunday, June 22, 2014

The Rise of China is the biggest geopolitical challenge of our time , Not Iran or Ukraine

“Of course people worry about the Middle East, people worry about Iran, North Korea or they worry about what’s going on in Ukraine and Russia – but if you’re thinking about what is the biggest geopolitical challenge of our time, there is one that is bigger than all of them: it’s the rise of China and how to manage that peacefully,”




 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Saturday, June 21, 2014

Roubini ‏: In Bahrain Water more costly than Gasoline


Nouriel Roubini : In Bahrain water more costly than gasoline. Gasoline subsidized. Water costly as imported or produced with energy intensive desalinization - via twitter


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Friday, June 20, 2014

ROUBINI: The Fed Will Have A Tricky Time Delivering A Clear Message As It Plays Musical Chairs


“You can’t tell the players without a program. Get your program here!” yelled the stadium vendors of my youth. In today’s Outside the Box I bring you an excellent piece of Fed watching by Nouriel Roubini and colleagues, a “program” of the new Fed members and where they rank on the hawk-dove scale. They point out that, with a new chairperson (Janet Yellen) and vice-chair (Stanley Fischer), and with higher than normal turnover on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) – over the past year, 75% of the FOMC’s membership has changed – the Fed’s need for clear communications with regard to monetary policy and forward guidance is greater than ever.





Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, June 19, 2014

The Benefits Of The U.S. Oil Production Boom


"The domestic benefits of the U.S. oil production boom are well documented — everything from the creation of high-paying jobs to sending less money to foreign oil producers.
Less well appreciated are the geopolitical benefits. U.S. oil production has already paid foreign policy dividends in at least one vital area: It has paved the way for stronger sanctions on Iran by helping to keep the global oil market well-supplied and minimizing oil price volatility.

This development is timely and instructive."

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

France Is Slipping Into A Recession


"France is slipping into a recession that complicates the austerity & reform agenda." - in Roubini`s Official Twitter

Related ETFs: iShares MSCI France Index ETF (EWQ)






Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Brazil Was Too Hyped


Two years ago at the Milken Conference, Eike Batista criticized me in our panel for saying that Brazil was too hyped. Today he is nearly bankrupt. - Via tweet



Related trading instruments: iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (NYSE:EWZ), SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (GLD)



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Monday, June 16, 2014

Money could flow from Canada to US


If the Fed starts to raise rates some time next year, and the Bank of Canada waits for a few months, if not quarters, then money is going to flow out of Canada into the U.S. and that is going to weaken the currency.


 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Sunday, June 15, 2014

6 things that worry Dr. Doom


The economist known as Dr. Doom sounds relatively optimistic these days.

Nouriel Roubini says many of the risks to the global economy have abated and things are looking up.

Thanks to bold moves by the world's central banks, global economic growth this year should be closer to 2% rather than the "anemic" 1% of the past few years, Roubini said at an event hosted by Aberdeen Asset Management in New York.

But -- and there's always a but -- Roubini has a list of six things he believes could derail the economic recovery. It's worth remembering that Roubini correctly predicted the housing crisis and ensuing financial crash in 2008.
read more @ http://money.cnn.com/2014/06/11/investing/economy-roubini-risks/index.html





Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Economic Growth Might Surprise to the Downside

“I am still of the view that most economic growth might surprise to the downside,” Nouriel Roubini said. The economist added that if equities rise another 30% this year, as the S&P 500 index SPX did last year, we’d likely be in “frothy” territory. - in Marketwatch




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Friday, June 13, 2014

Roubini: There’s ‘schizophrenia’ between what stock and bond markets tell you


U.S. stocks and bonds have been giving different signals about the economy in what’s turning out to be a bit of “schizophrenia” for weary investors, according to renowned economist Nouriel Roubini. Stocks have been plodding higher in 2014, even after a momentous rally last year, suggesting a positive outlook on economy and corporate health. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -0.50% is poised to cross 17,000 if stocks continue their run. Meanwhile, bond yields have fallen sharply for much of the year, defying the expectations of most investors, who expected interest rates to rise as the economy improved. So which market is right? If ... (full story)

 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Managing a rising China wont be Easy


Of course people worry about the Middle East, people worry about Iran, North Korea or they worry about what’s going on in Ukraine and Russia – but if you’re thinking about what is the biggest geopolitical challenge of our time, there is one that is bigger than all of them: it’s the rise of China and how to manage that peacefully.





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Nouriel Roubini: There’s ‘schizophrenia’ between what stock and bond markets tell you


U.S. stocks and bonds have been giving different signals about the economy in what’s turning out to be a bit of “schizophrenia” for weary investors, according to renowned economist Nouriel Roubini.
Stocks have been plodding higher in 2014, even after a momentous rally last year, suggesting a positive outlook on economy and corporate health. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA +0.02% is poised to cross 17,000 if stocks continue their run. Meanwhile, bond yields have fallen sharply for much of the year, defying the expectations of most investors, who expected interest rates to rise as the economy improved.
read more @ http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2014/06/10/nouriel-roubini-says-theres-schizophrenia-between-what-the-stock-and-bond-market-tell-you/





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics
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