Global Alpha Forum 2015 : Industry Leading Panels & Speakers

Nouriel Roubini To Speak At Global Alpha Forum 2015

Global Alpha Forum provides industry leading content including both topical keynote speakers and issue driven panel discussions. These panels and speakers cover far more than the current state of the alternative investment industry; they take a deep dive into where our sector is moving and cover the latest and biggest trends. Allocator and managers alike will find it extremely productive to explore new directions in fund investing.










 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Roubini not so Gloomy now

"We're not going to have a global recession because China is going to be able to avoid a hard landing," the co-founder of financial analysis firm RGE Monitor said Tuesday on CNBC's "Fast Money: Halftime Report."









 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Roubini says Paris attacks could boost the eurozone economy

Economist Nouriel Roubini said Tuesday the Paris attacks could end up boosting the eurozone economy if the European Central Bank decides to increase its program of monetary stimulus by a larger margin than it would have otherwise. In an interview with CNBC, the founder of Roubini Global Economics said the the impact of the attacks would otherwise be 'modest', unless more follow. Roubini also discussed his views on China, saying he expects the world's second-largest economy to experience "a bumpy landing" as it becomes more consumer-oriented. On the subject of the Federal Reserve, Roubini stressed that whether the central bank raises interest rates in March or December is largely irrelevant to market's long-term performance. The long-term pace of interest-rate hikes would have a much larger impact, he said.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/nouriel-roubini-says-paris-attacks-could-boost-the-eurozone-economy-2015-11-17







Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Roubini : Open Innovations University

 Open Innovations University! Nouriel Roubini, a Nobel Prize winning economist, co-founder of Roubini Global Economics, is speaking at #OI2015 about the future of the labor market.
#futureisherenow #OI2015








Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

China: Expect a 'bumpy landing' but no crash

A hard landing would mean a massive collapse in commodity prices and a sharp devaluation of China and other emerging markets’ economies. The risk of the hard landing, is however, relatively low, according to Roubini. He calls what is likely to happen with China a “bumpy landing” – a 6.5% growth slowdown this year and between 5 and 6 percent potential growth next year, rather than complete collapse.





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini Could Be Right, Gold Could Hit $1,000/oz – Gary Wagner | Kitco News

 As gold prices continue to struggle following Thursday’s fall to a near 5.5-year low, one technician says he wouldn’t be surprised to see the metal move lower. Commenting on famed economist Nouriel Roubini’s call for $1,000 gold in 2015, Gary Wagner told Kitco News that ‘he could absolutely be correct.’ According to Wagner, it is important to look at the intraday low of $1,073/oz gold hit Thursday. ‘That’s a critical point in that it creates a double bottom…secondly, it is a 61% retracement of larger rally from about $550 up to $1,920/oz,’ he explained. Looking at the charts, Wagner says his range for gold right now is between $1,072-1,100, but he is even considering the $1,000 support level. ‘I think the action that we’ve seen over the last couple of weeks with the dramatic decline is pricing in a rate hike into the equation,’ he said. However, Wagner sees support coming from the Far East as demand picks up. ‘One thing that I’ve seen consistently is that the [gold] market gets bid down in the US and gets bought back up when it goes to Hong Kong,’ he says, adding that it is important to look at what China is doing in terms of gold demand. Kitco News, November 13, 2015.






Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : Robots taking over our Jobs?

Technological innovation is increasingly capital intensive, skill-biased and saves on labor. The demand for labor is going to shrink further, partly because of robotic substitution and structural changes as well.




 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

The hyped-up Grexit

The solution of the Greek problem has more of a symbolic meaning for the whole eurozone. The Grexit would mean the beginning of the end of the eurozone, politically.








Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Silicon Valley

There is a lot of technological and scientific innovation in different fields of global economy, however, it is concentrated in some spots like Silicon Valley. At the moment, it does not lead to productivity growth, which is the key to the growth of global economy.







Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Crisis Economics by Nouriel Roubini Ebook PDF

 Author: Nouriel Roubini
Publish: 2010-05-11
This myth shattering book reveals the methods Nouriel Roubini used to foretell the current crisis before other economists saw it coming and shows how those methods can help us make sense of the present and prepare for the future. Renowned economist Nouriel Roubini electrified his profession and the larger financial community by predicting the current crisis well in advance of anyone else. Unlike most in his profession who treat economic disasters as freakish once-in-­a-lifetime events without clear cause, Roubini, after decades of careful research around the world, realized that they were both probable and predictable. Armed with an unconventional blend of historical analysis and global economics, Roubini has forced politicians, policy makers, investors, and market watchers to face a long-neglected truth: financial systems are inherently fragile and prone to collapse. Drawing on the parallels from many countries and centuries, Nouriel Roubini and Stephen Mihm, a professor of economic history and a New York Times Magazine writer, show that financial cataclysms are as old and as ubiquitous as capitalism itself. The last two decades alone have witnessed comparable crises in countries as diverse as Mexico, Thailand, Brazil, Pakistan, and Argentina. All of these crises-not to mention the more sweeping cataclysms such as the Great Depression-have much in common with the current downturn. Bringing lessons of earlier episodes to bear on our present predicament, Roubini and Mihm show how we can recognize and grapple with the inherent instability of the global financial system, understand its pressure points, learn from previous episodes of "irrational exuberance," pinpoint the course of global contagion, and plan for our immediate future. Perhaps most important, the authors-considering theories, statistics, and mathematical models with the skepticism that recent history warrants—explain how the world's economy can get out of the mess we're in, and stay out. In Roubini's shadow, economists and investors are increasingly realizing that they can no longer afford to consider crises the black swans of financial history. A vital and timeless book, Crisis Economics proves calamities to be not only predictable but also preventable and, with the right medicine, curable.








Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini: The Central Banks are Broken

Fiscal policy instruments are not used to their full potential. There is a huge need for structural reforms worldwide, however, both in democracies and in “less democratic countries” implementation of structural reforms is hard because of the election cycles and the inability of politicians to act in the long-term.

Read more: Nouriel Roubini: 7 Ways Global Economy Is Going to Change







Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : 7 Ways The Global Economy is going to Change

Sometimes referred to as Dr. Doom because of his accurate prediction that the US housing market would collapse, Roubini gave a lecture on Saturday and FinBuzz presents his top seven economic ideas from the event.
Aging population and the end of the ‘golden era’

Until 2013, markets were growing robustly. Now the golden era of growth is over. Economic slowdown worldwide has several causes: both governments and corporations have entered a deleveraging stage, saving more, and spending and investing less. The aging populations in both in Europe and Asia are changing the consumption model on an individual level, and people are saving more, too. Although corporations have enough cash, most of them are not inclined to invest money into new projects the way they have done before, as the level of political, economic, and geopolitical uncertainty has dramatically risen.
read more @  http://finbuzz.com/7-ways-the-global-economy-is-going-to-change-according-to-nouriel-roubini/










 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Terry Waters, President & CEO Roubini Global Economics - Global Alpha Forum

 Industry Leading Panels & Speakers






 Global Alpha Forum provides industry leading content including both topical keynote speakers and issue driven panel discussions. These panels and speakers cover far more than the current state of the alternative investment industry; they take a deep dive into where our sector is moving and cover the latest and biggest trends. Allocator and managers alike will find it extremely productive to explore new directions in fund investing.



 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

The Great Depression brought to power authoritarian regimes in Europe and even Asia

In the 1930s, economic stagnation and depression led to the rise of Hitler in Germany, Mussolini in Italy and Franco in Spain (among other authoritarians). Today’s brand of illiberal leaders may not yet be as politically virulent as their 1930s predecessors. But their economic corporatism and autocratic style are similar.

The re-emergence of nationalist, nativist populism is not surprising: economic stagnation, high unemployment, rising inequality and poverty, lack of opportunity, and fears about migrants and minorities “stealing” jobs and incomes have given such forces a big boost. The backlash against globalization—and the freer movement of goods, services, capital, labour and technology that comes with it—that has now emerged in many countries is also a boon to illiberal demagogues.

If economic malaise becomes chronic, and employment and wages do not rise soon, populist parties may come closer to power in more European countries. Worse, the euro zone may again be at risk, with a Greek exit causing a domino effect that eventually leads to the euro zone’s break-up. Or a British exit from the EU may trigger European dis-integration, with the additional risks posed by the fact that some countries (the UK, Spain and Belgium) are at risk of breaking up themselves.

In the 1930s, the Great Depression brought to power authoritarian regimes in Europe and even Asia, eventually leading to World War II. Today’s resurgence of illiberal state capitalist regimes and leaders is nowhere close to inciting a war, because centre-right and centre-left governments still committed to liberal democracy, enlightened economic policies and solid welfare systems still rule most of Europe. But the toxic brew of populism now gaining strength may yet open a Pandora’s box, unleashing unpredictable consequences. -- by Nouriel Roubini in Project Syndicate








Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Roubini outlines Roubini Global Economic's research approach.

 The National Balance Sheet Approach







 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini GAF

Roubini Global Economics








 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

The reemergence of nationalist, nativist populism in Europe is not surprising

In the 1930s, economic stagnation and depression led to the rise of Hitler in Germany, Mussolini in Italy, and Franco in Spain (among other authoritarians). Today’s brand of illiberal leaders may not yet be as politically virulent as their 1930s predecessors. But their economic corporatism and autocratic style are similar.

The reemergence of nationalist, nativist populism is not surprising: economic stagnation, high unemployment, rising inequality and poverty, lack of opportunity, and fears about migrants and minorities “stealing” jobs and incomes have given such forces a big boost. The backlash against globalization – and the freer movement of goods, services, capital, labor, and technology that comes with it – that has now emerged in many countries is also a boon to illiberal demagogues.

If economic malaise becomes chronic, and employment and wages do not rise soon, populist parties may come closer to power in more European countries. Worse, the eurozone may again be at risk, with a Greek exit eventually causing a domino effect that eventually leads to the eurozone’s breakup. Or a British exit from the EU may trigger European dis-integration, with the additional risks posed by the fact that some countries (the UK, Spain, and Belgium) are at risk of breaking up themselves.-- Roubini in Project Syndicate











 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : Europe’s Politics of Dystopia

TOKYO – The recent victory of the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party in Poland confirms a recent trend in Europe: the rise of illiberal state capitalism, led by populist right-wing authoritarians. Call it Putinomics in Russia, Órbanomics in Hungary, Erdoğanomics in Turkey, or a decade of Berlusconomics from which Italy is still recovering. Soon we will no doubt be seeing Kaczyńskinomics in Poland. 

All are variations on the same discordant theme: a nationalist leader comes to power when economic malaise gives way to chronic and secular stagnation. This elected authoritarian then starts to reduce political freedoms through tight-fisted control of the media, especially television. Then, he (so far, it has always been a man, though France’s Marine Le Pen would fit the pattern should she ever come to power) pursues an agenda opposing the European Union (when the country is a member) or other institutions of supra-national governance.

He will also oppose free trade, globalization, immigration, and foreign direct investment, while favoring domestic workers and firms, particularly state-owned enterprises and private business and financial groups with ties to those in power. In some cases, outright nativist, racist parties support such government or provide an even deeper authoritarian and anti-democratic streak.

Read more at https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/europe-far-right-state-capitalism-by-nouriel-roubini-2015-10#uJdMvARFegUbBRFZ.99

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini dismisses China scare as False Alarm

Nouriel Roubini has cast aside his mantle as the lugubrious "Dr Doom" of the global economy, scathingly dismissing market panic over China as "manic depressive" behaviour by ill-informed investors. "China is not in free-fall," he told the Ambrosetti forum of world leaders on Lake Como. Mr Roubini, a professor at New York University, described the alarmist reaction to the Shanghai stock market rout as "excessive, unreasonable and irrational". The Shanghai bourse is largely closed to the rest of the world and is thinly owned by Chinese citizens, while the country's banking system is state-owned and therefore has the entire resources of the Communist regime to avert a financial meltdown.

Read more @ http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/11845194/Nouriel-Roubini-dismisses-China-scare-as-false-alarm-stuns-with-optimism.html

 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Speaker At The Global Alpha Forum 2015

 Nouriel Roubini To Speak At Global Alpha Forum 2015 









 Industry Leading Panels & Speakers

Global Alpha Forum provides industry leading content including both topical keynote speakers and issue driven panel discussions. These panels and speakers cover far more than the current state of the alternative investment industry; they take a deep dive into where our sector is moving and cover the latest and biggest trends. Allocator and managers alike will find it extremely productive to explore new directions in fund investing.



Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

The Combination of Macro Liquidity & Market Illiquidity is a Time Bomb

"In equity markets, high-frequency traders (HFTs) ... account for a larger share of transactions," he said. "Indeed, trading in the U.S. nowadays is concentrated at the beginning and the last hour of the trading day, when HFTs are most active; for the rest of the day, markets are illiquid, with few transactions."

"This combination of macro liquidity and market illiquidity is a time bomb. So far, it has led only to volatile flash crashes and sudden changes in bond yields and stock prices. But, over time, the longer central banks create liquidity to suppress short-run volatility, the more they will feed price bubbles in equity, bond and other asset markets," he added.














Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini: Mideast Needs Diplomacy Not Conflict

Nouriel Roubini: Mideast Needs Diplomacy Not Conflict - Presented by: The Aol. On Network Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/video/nouriel-roubini--mideast-needs-diplomacy-not-conflict-519125421#ixzz3pVTDyOua
In today's "Morning Must Read," Bloomberg’s Vonnie Quinn recaps the op-ed pieces and analyst notes providing insight behind today's headlines, including comments from Nouriel Roubini. She speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance.” Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/video/nouriel-roubini--mideast-needs-diplomacy-not-conflict-519125421#ixzz3pVT4v75Y

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Roubini To Speak At Global Alpha Forum 2015

Industry Leading Panels & Speakers
Global Alpha Forum provides industry leading content including both topical keynote speakers and issue driven panel discussions. These panels and speakers cover far more than the current state of the alternative investment industry; they take a deep dive into where our sector is moving and cover the latest and biggest trends. Allocator and managers alike will find it extremely productive to explore new directions in fund investing.









Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : On China Economy Bumpy Landing

China's economy path will be bumpy, but not a hard landing





Nouriel Roubini, chairman of Roubini Global Economics LLC and a professor at New York University's Stern School of Business, talks about the global economy, central bank policies and financial markets. He speaks with Tom Keene, Michael McKee, Brendan Greeley and Vonnie Quinn on Bloomberg Television's "Surveillance." (Source: Bloomberg)


Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini Global Economics New Joint Venture with ThoughtWorks360

NEW YORK, NY--(Marketwired - October 12, 2015) - Roubini Global Economics (RGE), a leading provider of independent, global macroeconomic research, today announced the formation of a joint venture with ThoughtWorks360, a thought leadership consultancy, to create a new enterprise called Roubini ThoughtWorks. The new venture will be founded in mixed-methods research, applying advanced analytical tools, predictive models, digital technology, and expert opinion to understand future megatrends and their impact on business, government, and people around the world.
Roubini ThoughtWorks will work with clients to deliver innovative thinking to help corporate and government leaders embrace transformative change in today's hyperconnected, digital world. This venture will combine RGE's economic and market expertise with ThoughtWorks360's research, editorial and marketing skills to provide private- and public-sector organizations with analytics-based thought leadership and decision-support programs, thereby inspiring fresh management ideas and delivering actionable insights.
read more @ http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/roubini-global-economics-and-thoughtworks360-partner-to-create-roubini-thoughtworks-2063022.htm

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Crisis Economics by Nouriel Roubini Ebook PDF

Crisis Economics by Nouriel Roubini Ebook PDF






Author: Nouriel Roubini
Publish: 2010-05-11
This myth shattering book reveals the methods Nouriel Roubini used to foretell the current crisis before other economists saw it coming and shows how those methods can help us make sense of the present and prepare for the future. Renowned economist Nouriel Roubini electrified his profession and the larger financial community by predicting the current crisis well in advance of anyone else. Unlike most in his profession who treat economic disasters as freakish once-in-­a-lifetime events without clear cause, Roubini, after decades of careful research around the world, realized that they were both probable and predictable. Armed with an unconventional blend of historical analysis and global economics, Roubini has forced politicians, policy makers, investors, and market watchers to face a long-neglected truth: financial systems are inherently fragile and prone to collapse. Drawing on the parallels from many countries and centuries, Nouriel Roubini and Stephen Mihm, a professor of economic history and a New York Times Magazine writer, show that financial cataclysms are as old and as ubiquitous as capitalism itself. The last two decades alone have witnessed comparable crises in countries as diverse as Mexico, Thailand, Brazil, Pakistan, and Argentina. All of these crises-not to mention the more sweeping cataclysms such as the Great Depression-have much in common with the current downturn. Bringing lessons of earlier episodes to bear on our present predicament, Roubini and Mihm show how we can recognize and grapple with the inherent instability of the global financial system, understand its pressure points, learn from previous episodes of "irrational exuberance," pinpoint the course of global contagion, and plan for our immediate future. Perhaps most important, the authors-considering theories, statistics, and mathematical models with the skepticism that recent history warrants—explain how the world's economy can get out of the mess we're in, and stay out. In Roubini's shadow, economists and investors are increasingly realizing that they can no longer afford to consider crises the black swans of financial history. A vital and timeless book, Crisis Economics proves calamities to be not only predictable but also preventable and, with the right medicine, curable.








 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Brunello Rosa of Roubini Global Economics gives a message to the youth at Ambrosetti Forum

 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Brazil can avoid The Crisis

"Brazil isn't destined to have a crisis, it's possible to avoid it," Roubini said to Folha "If they make the necessary adjustments, there won't be any further downgrading and confidence in fiscal policy will improve. That will make people more comfortable about spending. The currency has devalued to the point of becoming more competitive, and exports should increase, though not by much, because of the global situation. Midway through next year, inflation should fall, because there will no longer be the effects of the increase of price controls and the recession will make the increase in salaries lower. The Central Bank will thus be able to cut interest rates and that will re-establish some growth. Brazilian GDP is likely to shrink 3% this year, perhaps as much as 4%. In 2016, if adjustments are made, I think there will be recession in the first six months, but the economy will bottom out midway through the year and then begin to recover. Brazil is not destined to have a crisis. There is a way out, although it is difficult and requires political courage from whoever is in power. For things to stabilize, fiscal adjustment is necessary, there's no other way," he added.

 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Brazil on the Brink of a Precipice Roubini Warns

Nouriel Roubini, one of the few economists who predicted the financial crisis of 2008, has warned, "Brazil is on the brink of a precipice."

Roubini argues that without fiscal adjustment, the country will lose its investment grade rating with other credit rating agencies (as has already happened with Standard and Poor's); borrowing costs will skyrocket; the real will go into freefall and the economy will shrink further still.

But Dr. Apocalypse, as the economist is known for his gloomy predictions, is not entirely pessimistic about Brazil's future. "Brazil isn't destined to have a crisis, it's possible to avoid it," he says. However, he says that for this to occur the country must run a surplus of at least 0.7% in 2016.

He estimates that Brazilian GDP will shrink by around 3% this year and remain stagnant or just slightly positive in 2016, as long as there is adjustment. According to the Focus report, the market expects recession of 2.85% in 2015 and 1% in 2016.

read more @ http://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/business/2015/10/1693317-brazil-on-the-brink-of-a-precipice-says-roubini-but-crisis-may-be-averted.shtml

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

About RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini Global Economics is the leading independent, global macroeconomic research firm founded in 2004 by renowned economist Nouriel Roubini. Roubini research combines expert insight with systematic analysis to translate economic, market and policy signals into actionable intelligence for a wide range of financial, corporate and policy professionals. This holistic approach uncovers opportunities and risks before they come to the attention of companies and markets, helping clients arrive at better decisions in a timelier manner. Roubini is headquartered in New York, with offices in London and Singapore.

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

No Sign of a Spike

This time around, instability in the Middle East is far more severe and widespread. But there appears to be no “fear premium” on oil prices; on the contrary, oil prices have declined sharply since 2014. Why?

Perhaps the most important reason is that, unlike in the past, the turmoil in the Middle East has not caused a supply shock. Even in the parts of Iraq now controlled by Islamic State, oil production continues, with output smuggled and sold in foreign markets. And the prospect that sanctions on Iran′s oil exports will be phased out implies significant inflows of foreign direct investment aimed at increasing production and export capacity.

Indeed, there is a global glut of oil. In North America, the shale-energy revolution in the US, Canada′s oil sands, and the prospect of more onshore and offshore oil production in Mexico (now that its energy sector is open to private and foreign investment) have made the continent less dependent on Middle East supplies. Moreover, South America holds vast hydrocarbon reserves, from Colombia all the way to Argentina, as does East Africa, from Kenya all the way to Mozambique.

With the US on the way to achieving energy independence, there is a risk that America and its Western allies will consider the Middle East less strategically important. That belief is wishful thinking: a burning Middle East can destabilise the world in many ways.

First, some of these conflicts may yet lead to an actual supply disruption, as in 1973, 1979, and 1990. Second, civil wars that turn millions of people into refugees will destabilise Europe economically and socially, which is bound to hit the global economy hard. And the economies and societies of frontline states like Lebanon, Jordan, and Turkey, already under severe stress from absorbing millions of such refugees, face even greater risks.

Third, prolonged misery and hopelessness for millions of Arab young people will create a new generation of desperate jihadists who blame the West for their despair. Some will undoubtedly find their way to Europe and the US and stage terrorist attacks.

So, if the West ignores the Middle East or addresses the region′s problems only through military means (the US has spent $2 trillion in its Afghan and Iraqi wars, only to create more instability), rather than relying on diplomacy and financial resources to support growth and job creation, the region′s instability will only worsen. Such a choice would haunt the US and Europe – and thus the global economy – for decades to come.

Nouriel Roubini

© Project Syndicate 2015











Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini: We Are Not Going Back to $100/Barrel Oil

April 28 -- RGB Roubini Global Economics co-founder Nouriel Roubini comments on oil prices during an interview with Bloomberg's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker at the Milken Global Conference in Beverly Hills, CA.






Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : There is a Global glut of Oil

Indeed, there is a global glut of oil. In North America, the shale-energy revolution in the US, Canada′s oil sands, and the prospect of more onshore and offshore oil production in Mexico (now that its energy sector is open to private and foreign investment) have made the continent less dependent on Middle East supplies. Moreover, South America holds vast hydrocarbon reserves, from Colombia all the way to Argentina, as does East Africa, from Kenya all the way to Mozambique.
With the US on the way to achieving energy independence, there is a risk that America and its Western allies will consider the Middle East less strategically important. That belief is wishful thinking: a burning Middle East can destabilise the world in many ways.

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini Warns : The violence and instability of North Africa is now spreading into Sub-Saharan Africa

Djibouti: The Middle East Meltdown and Global Risk – Impact of The Horn

New York (HAN) October 7, 2015 – Public Economic Diplomacy and the prospect of more onshore and offshore oil production in East Africa. Opinion By: Nouriel Roubini. A professor and was Senior Economist for International Affairs in the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration. He has worked for the International Monetary Fund, the US Federal Reserve, and the World Bank.

Among today’s geopolitical risks, none is greater than the long arc of instability stretching from the Maghreb to the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. With the Arab Spring an increasingly distant memory, the instability along this arc is deepening. Indeed, of the three initial Arab Spring countries, Libya has become a failed state, Egypt has returned to authoritarian rule, and Tunisia is being economically and politically destabilized by terrorist attacks.

The violence and instability of North Africa is now spreading into Sub-Saharan Africa, with the Sahel – one of the world’s poorest and most environmentally damaged regions – now gripped by jihadism, which is also seeping into the Horn of Africa to its east. And, as in Libya, civil wars are raging in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and Somalia, all of which increasingly look like failed states.

The region’s turmoil (which the United States and its allies, in their pursuit of regime change in Iraq, Libya, Syria, Egypt and elsewhere, helped to fuel) is also undermining previously secure states. The influx of refugees from Syria and Iraq is destabilizing Jordan, Lebanon, and now even Turkey, which is becoming increasingly authoritarian under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Meanwhile, with the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians unresolved, Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon represent a chronic threat of violent clashes with Israel.
- See more at: http://www.geeskaafrika.com/djibouti-the-middle-east-meltdown-and-global-risk-impact-of-the-horn/10061/#sthash.FhFrpBqz.dpuf




Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Markets Are Too Pessimistic About Chinese Growth: Roubini

Markets Are Too Pessimistic About Chinese Growth: Roubini | 2015-Sep-04 by Bloomberg Global Business
“I think the markets are now becoming slightly too pessimistic about Chinese economic growth and the ability of the policy authorities to manage the growth slowdown, the movements of the currency and stock market,” Roubini told Bloomberg News. “My view has been all along that the Chinese slowdown is going to be a bumpy, rough landing, but something short of a real hard landing.”

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Nouriel Roubini: Mideast Needs Diplomacy Not Conflict

In today's "Morning Must Read," Bloomberg’s Vonnie Quinn recaps the op-ed pieces and analyst notes providing insight behind today's headlines, including comments from Nouriel Roubini. She speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance.” (Source: Bloomberg)








 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

The Middle East Meltdown and Global Risk

NEW YORK – Among today’s geopolitical risks, none is greater than the long arc of instability stretching from the Maghreb to the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. With the Arab Spring an increasingly distant memory, the instability along this arc is deepening. Indeed, of the three initial Arab Spring countries, Libya has become a failed state, Egypt has returned to authoritarian rule, and Tunisia is being economically and politically destabilized by terrorist attacks.
The violence and instability of North Africa is now spreading into Sub-Saharan Africa, with the Sahel – one of the world’s poorest and most environmentally damaged regions – now gripped by jihadism, which is also seeping into the Horn of Africa to its east. And, as in Libya, civil wars are raging in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and Somalia, all of which increasingly look like failed states.

The region’s turmoil (which the United States and its allies, in their pursuit of regime change in Iraq, Libya, Syria, Egypt and elsewhere, helped to fuel) is also undermining previously secure states. The influx of refugees from Syria and Iraq is destabilizing Jordan, Lebanon, and now even Turkey, which is becoming increasingly authoritarian under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Meanwhile, with the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians unresolved, Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon represent a chronic threat of violent clashes with Israel.
In this fluid regional environment, a great proxy struggle for regional dominance between Sunni Saudi Arabia and Shia Iran is playing out violently in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Bahrain, and Lebanon. And while the recent nuclear deal with Iran may reduce the proliferation risk, the lifting of economic sanctions on Iran will provide its leaders with more financial resources to support their Shia proxies. Further east, Afghanistan (where the resurgent Taliban could return to power) and Pakistan (where domestic Islamists pose a continued security threat) risk becoming semi-failed states.
And yet, remarkably, even as most of the region began to burn, oil prices collapsed. In the past, geopolitical instability in the region triggered three global recessions. The 1973 Yom Kippur War between Israel and the Arab states caused an oil embargo that tripled prices and led to the stagflation (high unemployment plus inflation) of 1974-1975. The Iranian revolution of 1979 led to another embargo and price shock that triggered the global stagflation of 1980-1982. And the Iraq invasion of Kuwait in 1990 led to another spike in oil prices that triggered the US and global recession of 1990-1991.

Read more at https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/middle-east-meltdown-global-risk-by-nouriel-roubini-2015-10#jRtqIpC2x67SHttk.99










 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini analyzing Kazakhstan Economic Diversification

"In the case of Kazakhstan, I would like to say that there are six key issues and aspects that will allow you to diversify the economy. Firstly, you need to invest in human capital, the so-called physical capital - a knowledge infrastructure. You need to raise its level, if you have a large amount of resources, that's just fine, but you need to redirect the investment and other resources. It is necessary to operate a good balance between the private and the public sector. Anyway, it is necessary to move away from state capitalism in the direction of the more common diversified economy,” -- reports BNews.kz

 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : United Airlines is a bunch of idiots

"United Airlines is a bunch of idiots: they kicked out Nobel Prize Robert Shiller out of plane to Aspen conference because of "overbooking"
said Dr Nouriel Roubini in his twitter account today before he adds " Airlines provide lousy/rude service, treat passengers like cattle, overbook massively & overcharge as consolidation led to near monopoly"

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Some Will Suffer More Than Others

“Some will suffer more than others,” Doctor Nouriel Roubini recently wrote in an op-ed, “but, with a few exceptions lacking systemic importance, widespread distress and crises need not occur.”





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Emerging Markets Slow Down has Led to a Global Financial Market Volatility

"It's a complex global economic situation," Nouriel Roubini, a professor at New York University's Stern School of Business and chairman of consultancy firm Roubini Global Economics, said earlier this month while attending an international economic conference in Italy. "Certainly, China is slowing down. Emerging markets are slowing down. This has led to global financial market volatility – a tightening of financial conditions." -- via http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2015/09/15/brics-bloc-faces-cloudy-future

 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : Low Growth is Unavoidable

Limits of Monetary Policy and Stimulus - Low growth is unavoidable

Nouriel Roubini, Chairman Roubini Global Economics. Interviewed at the 38th edition of the annual workshop "Intelligence on the World, Europe, and Italy".
A Video By Alex Merced Support Alex Merced AlexMerced.com - LearnEconomicsNow.com - Libertarian101.com.





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini dismisses China scare as false alarm, stuns with optimism

by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, in Cernobbio, Italy
Telegraph.co.uk

 Nouriel Roubini has cast aside his mantle as the lugubrious “Dr Doom” of the global economy, scathingly dismissing market panic over China as “manic depressive” behaviour by ill-informed investors.
“China is not in free-fall,” he told the Ambrosetti forum of world leaders on Lake Como.
Mr Roubini, a professor at New York University, described the alarmist reaction to the Shanghai stock market rout as “excessive, unreasonable and irrational”.
The Shanghai bourse is largely closed to the rest of the world and is thinly owned by Chinese citizens, while the country’s banking system is state-owned and therefore has the entire resources of the Communist regime to avert a financial meltdown.
Continue Reading at Telegraph.co.uk…





 Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

China Slowdown is neither a hard landing nor a soft landing

The slowdown in China is neither a hard landing or a soft landing, it's a bumpy landing. It could be better managed but growth is not likely to be worse than 6.5% this year and 6% next year.
China is not in free fall.

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : China Slowdown going to be a bumpy

“I think the markets are now becoming slightly too pessimistic about Chinese economic growth and the ability of the policy authorities to manage the growth slowdown, the movements of the currency and stock market,”Dr. Doom told Bloomberg News.

“My view has been all along that the Chinese slowdown is going to be a bumpy, rough landing, but something short of a real hard landing.”

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics

Roubini : China is not in Free-fall

"China is not in free-fall," he told the Ambrosetti forum 2015 held at Villa d'Este in Cernobbio on Lake Como in Northern Italy.
"None of this is happening. The slowdown in China is neither a hard landing or a soft landing, it's a bumpy landing. It could be better managed but growth is not likely to be worse than 6.5pc this year and 6pc next year," he added

Nouriel Roubini is an American professor of Economics at New York University`s Stern School of Business and chairman of RGE Roubini Global Economics